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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| darkumbreon88 | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (1801–948, n=2749) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $174K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1605 at avg 69¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 158) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 100% of 605) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 824) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | darkumbreon88 | RN1 | sainttroplay | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | No $7.7K | — | — |
| Taipei: Daniel Michalski vs August Holmgren opposite sides · consensus August Holmgren | Daniel Michalski $4 | August Holmgren $2.6K | — | — |