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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
darkumbreon88RN1sainttroplayCORGII
Record (consensus markets)65% (1774–935, n=2709)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–246, n=639)
Consensus PnL$178K$13.4M$4.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #806PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=89, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=211, ROI +31%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1605 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 18)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 158)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 605)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 100% of 824)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdarkumbreon88RN1sainttroplayCORGII
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
Aurora Gaming $3.3K——Liquid $12K