← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| darkumbreon88 | beachboy4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (1753–924, n=2677) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $215K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (29 of 46 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1571 at avg 69¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 18) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 151) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 100% of 591) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 811) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | darkumbreon88 | beachboy4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $10K | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — |