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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1beachboy4joseph00677CORGIIsainttroplay
| dips. | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (4923–6237, n=11160) | 61% (495–320, n=815) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.9K | $4.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #290 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 28% (27 of 95 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 90% (148 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=4458 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 7533 at avg 41¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 4% of 3651) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 34% of 734) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 64% of 912) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 93% of 2236) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dips. | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.0K | — | No $253K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $351 | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $85K |