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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dips.RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)44% (4923–6237, n=11160)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$4.9K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #290PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus29% (28 of 96 open)86% (6 of 7 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +5 pts n=568, ROI 0%
  • MLB +5 pts n=336, ROI +5%
  • MMA +3 pts n=26, ROI 0%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=4458—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won41% of 7533 at avg 41¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 4% of 3651)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 34% of 734)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 64% of 912)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 93% of 2236)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.