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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
donthackmejoseph00677CORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)63% (6400–3785, n=10185)53% (10–9, n=19)61% (395–248, n=643)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$677K$5.6M$194K$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #12PM monthly #2PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus77% (251 of 326 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=263——NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won48% of 6420 at avg 42¢, ROI +12%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢47% (won 14% of 3014)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 46% of 716)6% (won 0% of 1)56% (won 99% of 223)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 68% of 785)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 94% of 1905)18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.