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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
e46m3joseph00677Michael-The-TaxiarchRN1
Record (consensus markets)17% (155–752, n=907)no settled marketno settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$536K—$152-$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #7PM monthly #518PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (310 of 422 open)no open consensus position54% (7 of 13 open)45% (40 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topicTech ±0 pts, n=36———
Settled positions, side won93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%——
Entries under 30¢7% (won 11% of 46)8% (won 0% of 1)——
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 86% of 7)8% (won 0% of 1)——
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 75% of 8)69% (won 67% of 9)——
Entries 70¢ and up90% (won 100% of 565)15% (won 100% of 2)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markete46m3joseph00677Michael-The-TaxiarchRN1
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $41——Rockets $19
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5——No $3
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Rockets $37——Rockets $16