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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)43% (129–174, n=303)no settled market63% (12–7, n=19)
Consensus PnL$245K$115K—$251K
Tracked asPM monthly #83PM monthly #33PM monthly #151PM monthly #20 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (61 of 113 open)no open consensus position64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up0%12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Bucks vs. Knicks
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bucks $226—Knicks $99K
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $3.6K—Celtics $59K
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $25K—Jazz $12K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $24K—Suns $6.8K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $5.7K—Kings $591