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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fbetBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)71% (24–10, n=34)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$4.9K$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #838PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won81% of 27 at avg 69¢, ROI +8%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 60% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 67% of 6)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfbetBreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $580No $89K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2KNo $21K
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0KNo $10K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KYes $51K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.0KNo $24K