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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (647–656, n=1303) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $10.6M | $19.0M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (44 of 75 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Isabella Shinikova $10 | — | — | Dune Vaissaud $273 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti $4 | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $48K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $19 | — | — | Mary Stoiana $21K |