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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (647–656, n=1303) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (44 of 75 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | RN1 | beachboy4 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti $4 | Lorenzo Musetti $48K | — | Hubert Hurkacz $1.2K |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Isabella Shinikova $10 | Dune Vaissaud $273 | — | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $19 | Mary Stoiana $21K | — | — |