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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1pvc975
Record (consensus markets)35% (3666–6666, n=10332)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)63% (993–578, n=1571)99% (17521–256, n=17777)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$4.8M$123K
Tracked asPM monthly #115PM monthly #10PM monthly #95was PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus74% (17 of 23 open)71% (134 of 189 open)72% (52 of 72 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144Crypto ±0 pts, n=293
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 11164 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)1% (won 10% of 78)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)0% (won 83% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)0% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)99% (won 100% of 11066)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1pvc975
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Thunder $20KGrizzlies $183——
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $5.1KMai Hontama $9.0K——
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.5KOver $2.6K——
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.2KOver $915——
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Sumit Nagal $2.5KKilian Feldbausch $131——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $506Wizards $166——