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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1PerpsKingprimm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)63% (1095–632, n=1727)43% (3–4, n=7)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.6M-$238K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #111was PM monthly #928PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus67% (28 of 42 open)72% (72 of 100 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 3 at avg 65¢, ROI +36%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)0%5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)0%41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)100% (won 100% of 3)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1PerpsKingprimm
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Patriots $16K——Packers $26K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $26K——Cardinals $5.6K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $1.1K——Cardinals $6.4K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $65——Cardinals $1.7K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $34K——49ers $65K