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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fireponbabylon | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (175–312, n=487) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$45K | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (15 of 22 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 102 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=169 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 32% of 444 at avg 29¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 64% (won 4% of 284) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 48% of 33) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 77% of 35) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 97% of 92) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fireponbabylon | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24 | — | Yes $4.7K |