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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fkALRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Record (consensus markets)79% (1291–342, n=1633)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (495–321, n=816)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$920K$14.8M-$352K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #295PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)55% (26 of 47 open)72% (13 of 18 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +22 pts n=1222, ROI +6%
  • NBA +12 pts n=504, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won92% of 1730 at avg 73¢, ROI +6%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 72% of 82)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 84% of 281)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 88% of 430)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 98% of 937)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketfkALRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $7.4KNo $146
Thunder vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $129Over $2.6K—