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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forecastication4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1134–1151, n=2285) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $104K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #321 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (7 of 18 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 805 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 99% of 312) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 271) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 187) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forecastication4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1.3K | Cardinals $2.7K | — | — |