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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forecastication4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1152–1170, n=2322) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $112K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #321 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 805 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 99% of 312) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 271) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 187) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forecastication4 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $605 | Commanders $1.4K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $8.1K | No $7.6K | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $678 | — | Over $527 |