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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
forrestgumperRN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)44% (463–580, n=1043)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$68K$13.4M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #971PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)52% (32 of 62 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won64% of 714 at avg 49¢, ROI +7%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 24% of 208)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 56% of 133)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 84% of 178)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 195)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketforrestgumperRN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $884No $18——
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $81Over $526——
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $32No $3.3K——