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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| fourcoin15m | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (5934–10646, n=16580) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $10K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #592 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (13 of 14 open) | 73% (113 of 154 open) | 61% (42 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Weather −1 pts, n=116 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 531 at avg 47¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 44% (won 5% of 232) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 37% of 46) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 67% of 46) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 90% of 207) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fourcoin15m | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $18K | Yes $11K |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $7.4K | No $121 |