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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (6114–5447, n=11561) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$16K | $3.5M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (270 of 393 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 50% (9 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 87% of 90) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 369) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 401) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 1208) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13 | — | — | Under $250 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $8 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $18 | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 32.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $20 | — | — | Over $5.8K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $2 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $8 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) same side · consensus Broncos | Broncos $26 | — | — | Broncos $247 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $4 |