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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Record (consensus markets)40% (2–3, n=5)43% (129–174, n=303)no settled market
Consensus PnL$391K$115K—
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #37PM monthly #150
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)51% (52 of 102 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 70% of 10)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 3)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $77KKnicks $35K—