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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 43% (129–174, n=303) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $779K | $391K | $115K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #33 | PM monthly #151 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 51% (56 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $119K | — | 76ers $12K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bucks $19K | Knicks $54K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $20K | — | 76ers $17 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Clippers $1.6K | — | Clippers $12K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $183 | — | Celtics $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus 76ers | Celtics $595 | — | Celtics $615 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $361 | — | Celtics $531 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $10 | — | Celtics $192 | — |