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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 43% (129–174, n=303) | no settled market | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $391K | $115K | — | $251K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #33 | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #20 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 53% (59 of 112 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (9 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 33% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 44% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | ndb1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bucks $226 | — | Knicks $99K |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $29K | Knicks $54K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $3.6K | — | Celtics $58K |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $25K | — | Jazz $11K |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $24K | — | Suns $6.8K |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $5.7K | — | Kings $591 |