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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
heyboy800sainttroplayBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)62% (1090–665, n=1755)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL-$14K$4.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position89% (128 of 144 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=214———
Settled positions, side won59% of 1439 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 15% of 55)0%10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 41% of 264)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 59% of 759)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 79% of 361)0%19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.