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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hgawx | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (59–80, n=139) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) | 48% (19694–21447, n=41141) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | $3.2M | $3.7M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 57% (17 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 73 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 95% of 59) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 59% (won 77% of 43) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 40% (won 99% of 512) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 79% of 29) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 633) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 65) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hgawx | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $4.0K | — | — | Cavaliers $119 |