← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| iWasEnough | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (7478–6498, n=13976) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | $37K | $14.8M | $11.0M | -$352K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #335 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=303 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 17% of 507) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 559) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 64% of 461) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 387) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | iWasEnough | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | No $114K | — |
| Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone opposite sides · consensus Murphy Cassone | Nicolas Mejia $12 | — | — | Murphy Cassone $1.1K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $835 | — | Yes $274K | — |