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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
iWasEnoughjoseph00677RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)54% (7478–6494, n=13972)50% (10–10, n=20)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$37K$5.3M$13.4M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #335PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus66% (65 of 98 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=303——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 17% of 507)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 559)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 64% of 461)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 92% of 387)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketiWasEnoughjoseph00677RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy Cassone
opposite sides · consensus Murphy Cassone
Nicolas Mejia $12——Murphy Cassone $1.1K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $198—Mariano Navone $631—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
same side · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $10—Rafael Jodar $1.1K—