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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
imjustkenisgheyndb1RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)49% (473–483, n=956)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$128K$4.8M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #384PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)73% (111 of 153 open)61% (38 of 62 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −14 pts, n=61NFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won43% of 763 at avg 43¢, ROI +3%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 25% of 75)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢68% (won 41% of 519)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 52% of 149)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 95% of 20)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketimjustkenisgheyndb1RN1S-Works
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.4KNo $10—