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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| insidero | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (184–56, n=240) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (55 of 62 open) | 90% (147 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 282 at avg 83¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 20% of 10) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 71% of 17) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 92% of 24) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 82% (won 98% of 231) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | insidero | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | No $202K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $625 | No $25K | — | — |