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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ipop00beachboy4BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (302–279, n=581)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$1.7M$5.8M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (72 of 97 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=356NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won58% of 535 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 91)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 42% of 115)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 69% of 166)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 81% of 163)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.