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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
itwasawholethingBreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGII
Record (consensus markets)60% (56–37, n=93)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$1.0K$10.6M$5.8M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #929PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)73% (72 of 98 open)100% (1 of 1 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 53 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 3)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 22)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 100% of 22)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketitwasawholethingBreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGII
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $4.9K——B8 $22K
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming
Aurora Gaming $6.6K——Liquid $11K