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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| jiafan | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (1086–354, n=1440) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $193K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #572 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 48% (12 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 1043 at avg 57¢, ROI +19% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 26% of 166) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 90% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 96% of 358) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 99% of 349) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | jiafan | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Eagles $3.7K | — | Eagles $1.0K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $644 | — | Over $527 |