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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| jole24 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (1034–1283, n=2317) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #906 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (3 of 8 open) | 74% (71 of 96 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −5 pts, n=23 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 52% of 1906 at avg 44¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 19% of 352) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 53% of 785) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 64% of 699) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 4% (won 87% of 70) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | jole24 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $102 | Yes $967 | — |