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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 46% (1335–1536, n=2871) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $38K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #353 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (16 of 25 open) | 72% (108 of 149 open) | 57% (17 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 751 at avg 70¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 56) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 161) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 15% (won 100% of 110) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 100% of 424) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | LightParadox | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $4 | — | No $269 |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $152 | — | No $14 |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | Yes $124 |