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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | LightParadox | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (1278–1468, n=2746) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | -$15K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #857 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (113 of 209 open) | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 751 at avg 70¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 56) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 161) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 15% (won 100% of 110) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 100% of 424) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | LightParadox | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.5K | Under $31K | — |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $291 | Under $6.4K | — |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | — | Hull City AFC $61 | Hull City AFC $2.9K | — |