Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Likaseentomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)25% (288–844, n=1132)50% (15489–15567, n=31056)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$31K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #118PM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)60% (101 of 169 open)63% (20 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=26——
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%43% of 475 at avg 44¢, ROI +9%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)50% (won 2% of 237)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 35% of 26)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 64% of 36)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)37% (won 96% of 176)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Likaseentomnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $95Tom Gentzsch $29
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
——Philip Henning $2Carlo Alberto Caniato $74
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $247Anastasia Zakharova $13K
Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $201Otto Virtanen $1.8K