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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677RN1S-Workswhosay
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)59% (1381–957, n=2338)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$14.8M$3.7M-$44K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74PM monthly #941
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (21 of 31 open)67% (2 of 3 open)29% (2 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Crypto −1 pts, n=46Tennis −3 pts, n=699
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)28% (won 58% of 584)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)35% (won 88% of 722)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677RN1S-Workswhosay
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $7.0K—Claire Liu $1.3K