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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | lightningbolts | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 59% (442–307, n=749) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $92K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #991 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 92% (11 of 12 open) | 61% (30 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 299 at avg 60¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 10) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 64) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 45% (won 100% of 136) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 30% (won 100% of 89) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | lightningbolts | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $9.7K | Buccaneers $4.4K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $8.4K | Under $2.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $8.1K | Buccaneers $15K |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $9.0K | Buccaneers $9.0K |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $2.5K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $13K | Over $845 |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $91 | Buccaneers $2.4K |