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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15558–15650, n=31208)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #138PM monthly #47PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (63 of 113 open)no open consensus position52% (17 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.6K
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.1K—Warriors $87
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $8—Ipek Oz $698
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $32—Heat $110
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $65—Harold Mayot $3.5K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $518—Katie Swan $1.1K
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Ivan Gakhov $204—Ivan Gakhov $224
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
same side · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Kanon Sawashiro $3—Kanon Sawashiro $48