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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| justaluckydude | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (5051–3478, n=8529) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 152) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 100% of 833) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 100% of 1457) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1025) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | justaluckydude | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $32 | — | — | Commanders $188K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $600 | — | — | Commanders $44K |