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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18robustmst
Record (consensus markets)43% (158–208, n=366)no settled market71% (17–7, n=24)42% (13–18, n=31)
Consensus PnL$54K—$467K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #42PM monthly #154PM monthly #16 + pinnedPM monthly #29
Sides with the consensus77% (33 of 43 open)no open consensus position63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=71——
Settled positions, side won100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)11% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)33% (won 100% of 3)65% (won 78% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)44% (won 100% of 4)29% (won 94% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)11% (won 100% of 1)4% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18robustmst
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Trail Blazers $17K—Thunder $76K—
Magic vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $21K—Kings $1.8K—
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
same side · consensus Team Falcons
Team Falcons $744—Team Falcons $58K—
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $5.2K—Kings $651—