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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lastminwin | ndb1 | S-Works | weflyhigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 64% (1102–633, n=1735) | 75% (2556–858, n=3414) | 52% (414–381, n=795) |
| Consensus PnL | $282K | $4.6M | $3.6M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #93 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #66 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (40 of 57 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | Entertainment −21 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 3% (won 27% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 41% (won 50% of 302) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 51% (won 58% of 380) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 5% (won 89% of 37) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lastminwin | ndb1 | S-Works | weflyhigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | No $201K | — | No $7 | — |