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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| looppau | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (10724–37, n=10761) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #799 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 52% (62 of 119 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports ±0 pts, n=483 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 7520 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 43% of 7) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 0% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 7509) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | looppau | RN1 | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $524 | Falcons $2.7K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $174 | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — | — |