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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lpgb | surfandturf | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (188–510, n=698) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (95 of 122 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 94% (15 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=42 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 258 at avg 22¢, ROI −7% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 79% (won 0% of 204) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 13% of 8) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 62% of 13) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 91% of 33) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lpgb | surfandturf | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $371 | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $253 | No $2.7K | — | — |