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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (36–19, n=55) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$858K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 20% (2 of 10 open) | 85% (55 of 65 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −6 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 50 at avg 68¢, ROI −9% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 58% of 19) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 77% of 26) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | milkteaboba | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.0K | No $250K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $61K | Yes $45K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $953 | Yes $83K | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | Yes $17K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | Yes $170K | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $33 | Yes $45K | — |