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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mouzsynapseRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (1032–1194, n=2226)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)46% (131–154, n=285)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$8.1K$14.8M-$6.6M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #955PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus78% (7 of 9 open)65% (11 of 17 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −6 pts, n=18—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won39% of 1477 at avg 36¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 19% of 564)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 45% of 540)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 53% of 298)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 75)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmouzsynapseRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188sainttroplay
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $522No $11K——
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $20Under $641——