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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
myxiRN1BreakTheBank0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)67% (393–193, n=586)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)45% (542–652, n=1194)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$15K$13.4M$10.6M$19.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #603PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)44% (4 of 9 open)90% (146 of 163 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=13——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won70% of 514 at avg 68¢, ROI +2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 24% of 29)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 49% of 69)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 84% of 287)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmyxiRN1BreakTheBank0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $74Rinky Hijikata $12K——