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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RN1 | wowfarm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) | 76% (4381–1393, n=5774) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $14.8M | $99K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #538 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 58% (53 of 91 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Tennis −9 pts, n=87 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 5350 at avg 75¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 20% (won 2% of 1096) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 2% (won 33% of 82) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 4% (won 52% of 212) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 74% (won 97% of 3960) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | wowfarm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $34K | Under $2.6K | — |