← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | S-Works | thirdt1me | weflyhigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 75% (2553–858, n=3411) | 97% (138–5, n=143) | 52% (414–381, n=795) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $3.6M | $21K | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #66 | was PM monthly #994 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (76 of 104 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — | Entertainment −21 pts, n=12 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21% | 55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 5% (won 71% of 7) | 3% (won 27% of 26) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 11% (won 100% of 14) | 41% (won 50% of 302) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 23% (won 100% of 30) | 51% (won 58% of 380) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 61% (won 100% of 80) | 5% (won 89% of 37) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.