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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | papaebal | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 46% (121–140, n=261) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (63 of 87 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (53 of 91 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 93% of 134 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 9% (won 92% of 12) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 35% (won 94% of 47) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 38% (won 90% of 51) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 18% (won 96% of 24) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | papaebal | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $34K | — | Under $2.6K |